AFC East: New York Jets

All this week the AFC East blog posted its "Show and Prove" series for 2013. This highlighted eight players in the division with a lot to prove this season. You can see the full lineup here.

But let’s take a look back at the “Show and Prove” Class of 2012 and see if they flopped or graduated with flying colors.

 

No. 1: LT Nate Solder, New England Patriots

What he must prove: “Solder has huge shoes to fill,” I wrote before the 2012 season. “He has to prove that he can replace a Patriots legend in Matt Light, who recently retired after a stellar career with New England. Light was a reliable force at left tackle protecting quarterback Tom Brady's blind side most of Brady's career. The change will put a huge spotlight on Solder.”

Analysis: Solder passed with good results. The Patriots pushed the tempo and led the NFL in total offense and points score. Brady also stayed healthy and played all 16 games. New England’s running game also was stronger than it had been in previous seasons. Solder helped pave the way for 1,200-yard rusher Stevan Ridley and proved to be New England’s long-term solution at left tackle.

Result: Thumbs up

 

No. 2: WR Brian Hartline, Miami Dolphins

What he must prove: “Hartline, by default, must prove he is a legitimate No. 1 receiver,” I wrote last year. “Miami traded Pro Bowl receiver Brandon Marshall to the Chicago Bears for two third-round picks this offseason. The Dolphins didn't take a receiver high in the draft or make any significant additions in free agency. That leaves Hartline trying to make the jump from a complementary receiver to a No. 1 threat.”

Analysis: Perhaps no player in the AFC East made a bigger jump from training camp to the end of the 2012 season than Hartline. He was injured and actually on the roster bubble for much of the offseason. Hartline was on the sidelines and couldn’t show his worth to a new coaching staff. Fortunately for Hartline, other receivers in Miami were struggling, as well. Therefore, first-year head coach Joe Philbin stuck with Hartline, who finally got healthy and came around in the regular season. It wasn’t long before he became rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill’s biggest playmaker. Hartline led the Dolphins with 1,083 receiving yards and turned it into a five-year, $31 million extension with the team.

Result: Thumbs up

 

No. 3: QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, Buffalo Bills

What he must prove: “Fitzpatrick must prove that he is a franchise quarterback. The Bills certainly are paying him like one,” I wrote last year. “Fitzpatrick received a $59 million contract extension during the 2011 season. But he struggled down the stretch, got injured and lost eight of his last nine starts.”

Analysis: The 2012 season was a no-excuse year for Fitzpatrick, and he never lived up to his contract. Fitzpatrick was the same inconsistent, streaky player he’s always been and led Buffalo to another 6-10 record. Fitzpatrick had a knack for turning over the football at the worst possible times. Fitzpatrick simply wasn’t a franchise quarterback, and the Bills made a huge error. Fitzpatrick was released this offseason and signed to be a backup with the Tennessee Titans.

Result: Thumbs down

 

No. 4: Shawne Merriman, Bills

What he must prove: “First, Merriman must stay healthy,” I wrote last year. “He suffered back-to-back season-ending Achilles injuries, and Merriman must prove he's fully recovered and can play close to a full season for the first time since 2009.”

Analysis: Despite Achilles issues the previous two seasons, the Bills brought back Merriman in hopes that “Lights Out” could add something to their pass rush. It turned out Merriman still lacked the explosiveness that once made him a good player. He was a bench player for the Bills who didn’t offer much. He retired after the season.

Result: Thumbs down

 

No. 5: QB Tim Tebow, New York Jets

What he must prove: “Tebow, first and foremost, has to prove he can be an asset to the Jets, who acquired him in a trade with the Denver Broncos this offseason,” I wrote last year. “New York's coaching staff is behind Mark Sanchez as the starting quarterback, but the team wants to find creative ways to get the most out of Tebow's abilities. That includes the Wildcat, special teams and maybe a few surprises.”

Analysis: The hype was immense. Tebow was coming off a playoff victory with Denver and was expected to push Sanchez in New York, but that never materialized. Instead, Tebow had a strange year in New York where he was used poorly at Wildcat, H-back and special teams. When Sanchez struggled, Tebow also was passed over for third-string quarterback Greg McElroy, which was a sign that Jets’ coaching staff didn't think Tebow was capable of leading the team. He was a bust in New York and eventually released.

Result: Thumbs down

 

No. 6: DE Jared Odrick, Dolphins

What he must prove: “Odrick must prove that he's ready to be a full-time starter,” I wrote last year. “Odrick, a former first-round pick, has eight starts the past two seasons.”

Analysis: Odrick is a former first-round pick, who is solid at several things, but not really special at anything. Odrick played all 16 games and started 12 at defensive end for the Dolphins last year. He was solid against the run, but didn’t offer much of a pass-rushing threat. That led to Miami drafting No. 3 overall pick Dion Jordan in this year’s draft. Odrick has some versatility and is getting a look inside at defensive tackle. He’s a good piece to have on your team. But Odrick proved last year that he’s not a game-changer.

Result: Thumbs down

 

No. 7: DB Devin McCourty, Patriots

What he must prove: “McCourty must prove his stellar rookie year wasn’t a fluke,” I wrote last year. “New England’s 2010 first-round pick took the NFL by storm as a rookie with 82 tackles, seven interceptions and two forced fumbles. McCourty looked like a genius pick by the Patriots and made the Pro Bowl. But McCourty had a huge sophomore slump in 2011.”

Analysis: McCourty struggled at cornerback so much that Patriots head coach Bill Belichick made him a full-time safety. McCourty had a few ups and downs, but actually proved to be a decent safety. McCourty may not be a shutdown corner some thought he would be after his rookie year. But McCourty’s versatility to play all positions in the secondary makes him a valuable asset in New England’s defense.

Result: Thumbs up

 

No. 8: RT Wayne Hunter, Jets

What he must prove: “Hunter must prove he's a starting right tackle,” I wrote last year. “The 2011 season was his first as a full-time starter, and it was a disaster.”

Analysis: Hunter became infamous with Jets fans. In terms of balance, strength and lack of consistency, he was arguably the worst starting offensive tackle in football in 2011. Hunter’s struggles continued in camp with the Jets, who eventually cut ties and made a trade with the St. Louis Rams for another bust in Justin Smith. The trade, as expected, didn’t work out well for either team. But at least it got Hunter out of New York, where he was eaten alive by the Jets fans and media. It also allowed the Jets to discover relative unknown Austin Howard, who played decent football at right tackle last season.

Result: Thumbs down
This month, a couple of fringe New York Jets -- Cliff Harris and Claude Davis -- were arrested for marijuana possession. The Jets swiftly cut both players without hesitation and without letting the legal system run its course.

Last week, potential starting running back Mike Goodson was arrested on drug and weapons charges. Yet Goodson will return to practice next week, as the Jets allow the legal system to run its course.

Are the Jets being hypocritical? The answer is yes.

It’s easy for the Jets to cut bait on a couple of players who have a slim chance to make the team. But when it’s a potential starting running back who recently signed a three-year, $6.9 million contract, New York suddenly expresses patience with off-the-field misconduct.

The Jets are taking a wait-and-see approach with Goodson because they need the tailback. New York’s offense is in shambles and cannot afford to lose talented players.

But what message does this send to the Jets’ locker room? Is there a “star system” developing in New York? Will potential starters not be held accountable or to the same standard as fringe players and backups?

This is an important time for Jets first-year general manager John Idzik to establish a culture and identity in New York. However, Idzik dropped the ball with these two situations.

Idzik’s regime cannot be inconsistent with off-the-field misconduct when it’s convenient. Either have patience with troubled players and let the legal system run its course, or have a low or zero-tolerance policy. The worst thing Idzik can do is play the fence on this issue, which is what he's done with Goodson, Harris and Davis. That sends a confusing message to the Jets' locker room.
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How does each AFC East team look at running back, and what still needs to be done?

Buffalo Bills: The Bills have one of the NFL’s strongest duos in C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson. They complement each other very well. Spiller is a dynamic home run hitter, while Jackson runs hard between the tackles. Both players are also versatile enough to catch out of the backfield. Former Bills head coach Chan Gailey could never figure out how to effectively use both players. Spiller was mostly underused on Gailey’s watch until the second half of last season. New head coach Doug Marrone is expected to learn from Gailey’s mistakes. Spiller as the primary ball-carrier, with Jackson as the backup, would make a dangerous combination.

Miami Dolphins: The Dolphins have an intriguing situation at running back. After 2012 starter Reggie Bush left Miami for the Detroit Lions in free agency, the Dolphins are left with three relative unknowns at tailback. Second-year player Lamar Miller is the projected starter. He showed tremendous flashes during his rookie season and led Miami backs with 4.9-yards-per-carry average. Miller fits Miami’s West Coast offense well but needs to do a better job in pass protection as an every-down back. Backup Daniel Thomas never lived up to his high draft status but isn’t bad as a second or third option. Thomas will compete with 2013 fifth-round pick Mike Gillislee, who many think is a nice sleeper pickup for the Dolphins. This is an unknown group that could end up better than advertised.

New England Patriots: The Patriots are well-stocked at running back. It starts with starter Stevan Ridley, who led the Patriots with a career-high 1,263 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns in 2012. Ridley fit in well with New England’s up-tempo, spread offense. Backup Shane Vereen is expected to fill the third-down role vacated by Danny Woodhead, who signed with the San Diego Chargers in free agency. New England also added burly tailback LeGarrette Blount, who can add toughness and help in short-yardage situations. Leon Washington is the fourth running back on the team but is primarily a kick returner. The running game could be even more important in 2013 now that New England had a major makeover at wide receiver and has injury concerns with tight ends Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez.

New York Jets: The Jets are in a tough spot at running back. Free-agent signee Mike Goodson was arrested last week and faces drug and weapons charges. He was expected to compete for the starting job in New York, but now his future with the Jets is uncertain. First-year general manager John Idzik is trying to change the culture in New York and could make an example of Goodson for poor off-the-field behavior. That would leave New York with a not-so-impressive trio that includes projected starter Chris Ivory and backups Bilal Powell and Joe McKnight. This is not a trio who will scare an NFL defense. The Jets are in the middle of a long rebuild, and that includes not having many weapons on offense.
We have an interesting topic in this week’s "Poll Friday" blog in the AFC East.

So often we discuss which team will win the AFC East. But which team will finish last in 2013?

SportsNation

Who will finish in last place in the AFC East in 2013?

  •  
    14%
  •  
    2%
  •  
    80%
  •  
    4%

Discuss (Total votes: 9,521)

Will it be the New York Jets? The Jets are beginning a long and arduous rebuild under first-year general manager John Idzik. New York traded away its best player (Darrelle Revis) and still has many questions at quarterback. Will the Jets finish in last place during a must-win season for head coach Rex Ryan?

Or will the Buffalo Bills finish at the bottom? Buffalo was a major flop last season after signing big-name free agents last year such as defensive end Mario Williams. The Bills fired former head coach Chan Gailey and hired new coach Doug Marrone, as a result. With a new offense, a new defense, a new coach and a new quarterback, are major growing pains ahead for the Bills this season?

Could it be the Miami Dolphins? The Dolphins spent more than $204 million in total contracts and was a major winner in free agency. But spending money doesn’t always equal wins. Are the Dolphins, my sleeper pick for 2013, setting themselves up for a major disappointment and a last-place finish in the AFC East?

You can also vote the New England Patriots to finish last, although I think that would be silly considering their track record and consistency under quarterback Tom Brady and coach Bill Belichick. Also feel free to share your thoughts in the comment section below.
Here are the most interesting stories Friday the AFC East:
  • Miami Dolphins second-year quarterback Ryan Tannehill is an under-25 player on the rise.
Morning take: The Dolphins are expecting big things from Tannehill in Year 2. Miami’s front office put a lot of weapons around him this season and expects Tannehill to make the jump and lead the Dolphins into playoff contention.
Morning take: Not according to ESPN medical expert Stephania Bell. Gronkowski had his fourth arm surgery this week and aims to make it back for training camp. But based on Gronkowski’s long history of injuries, the Patriots must be cautious.
  • Will New York Jets head coach Rex Ryan be patient with quarterback Mark Sanchez?
Morning take: I think Ryan has been too patient with Sanchez in the past, but those days are over. Ryan is in the hot seat this year and can’t afford another turnover-prone year from Sanchez. If rookie quarterback Geno Smith is better in training camp, he should play in Week 1.
Morning take: This is good news for the Bills after Chandler suffered a torn ACL late last season. Buffalo hasn’t found a sure replacement for Chandler and will need him back in the lineup as soon as possible.

Jets are backbiting already?

May, 23, 2013
May 23
3:00
PM ET
Cue the circus music and get out the clown suits. The zany New York Jets are at it again.

This time, the annual backbiting is occurring earlier than usual.

One anonymous Jets player told Mike Freeman of CBSSports.com that “80 to 90 percent” of the locker room does not want quarterback Mark Sanchez under center. That's a strong statement, especially considering Sanchez is in a four-way quarterback competition.

"Everyone on the team likes Mark personally,” the Jets player said. “But there's a general feeling among some of the players that maybe it's time to give someone else a chance."

Anonymous backbiting in the media has been prevalent the past two seasons in New York, despite attempts by head coach Rex Ryan to control the locker room. This cannot make Sanchez feel too good. It also probably didn’t help that Sanchez had an awful practice on Wednesday.

Sanchez threw three interceptions in team drills when players were in shorts and there was no contact. That’s not a good sign for a quarterback trying to inspire confidence in his teammates and the coaching staff. The other options are rookie quarterback Geno Smith, Greg McElroy or Matt Simms.

However, just as big as the quarterback issue is New York's locker-room issue. Jets first-year general manager John Idzik came to New York to try to clean up the mess left behind by former general manager Mike Tannenbaum. It remains a work in progress.
The AFC East blog continues its "Show and prove" series for the division in 2013.

On Thurday we take a look at New York Jets second-year receiver Stephen Hill.

2012 stats: 21 receptions, 252 yards, three TDs

What he has to prove: Hill has to prove that he’s polished enough to be a starting wide receiver in the NFL. The former second-round pick came to New York very raw and with little experience catching passes at Georgia Tech. But Hill has the kind of size and speed that you like at the position. New York doesn’t have many weapons on offense this year. So Hill should get ample opportunities to prove his worth with the rebuilding Jets.

Walker’s 2013 outlook: Hill still has a long way to go based on what I saw in his rookie season. Hill had issues with drops and overall concentration, which is not a surprise considering he wasn’t asked to be a pass-catcher much in college. He must also stay healthy this season. It’s going to take a lot of coaching for Hill to be a polished receiver at the NFL level, and he did not get very good coaching with the Jets last season. This will be Hill’s second offensive system in two years. Perhaps offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg can get more out of Hill's potential in a West Coast scheme than former Jets offensive coordinator Tony Sparano. Veterans Santonio Holmes and Jeremy Kerley should get most of the receptions in New York. But Hill has the potential to at least be New York’s top deep threat this season.
Here are the most interesting stories Thursday the AFC East:
  • New York Jets head coach Rex Ryan was not pleased with quarterback Mark Sanchez's three interceptions in practice Wednesday.
Morning take: It is easy to say it’s just practice. But Sanchez is in a four-way competition and needs to begin separating himself if he wants to claim the starting job. Three interceptions will not cut it.
Morning take: It is good for Buffalo’s rookie quarterback and receiver to work together. Perhaps the two will also bond on the field and have good chemistry.
  • The New England Patriots claimed another former Rutgers player off waivers: offensive tackle Kevin Haslam.
Morning take: That brings the Patriots up to eight former Rutgers players on the roster, the most of any college. Belichick has strong ties to the school and is taking advantage of the inside knowledge.
Morning take: Miami has to fill a void left by the trade of Davone Bess to the Cleveland Browns. Gibson is not a natural slot receiver, but he’s probably the third-best receiver on Miami’s roster.
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New York Jets rookie quarterback Geno Smith is the newest member of Roc Nation.

Smith confirmed to reporters Wednesday that he’s decided to hire hip-hop mogul Jay Z's Roc Nation to represent him during negotiations with the Jets. Smith was New York’s second-round pick and considered the team’s long-term solution at quarterback. He is competing with incumbent Jets quarterback Mark Sanchez for the starting job this summer.

Smith recently fired his old representation -- Select Sports -- after the draft. Smith was not happy with the way the pre-draft process went, in addition to falling out of the first round.
Earlier today we wrote about Hall of Famer Joe Namath’s comments on expecting big things from New York Jets quarterback Mark Sanchez this season. On cue, Sanchez goes out and has an awful practice during Wednesday’s organized team activities open to the media.

Sanchez threw three interceptions during team drills Wednesday. Cornerback Antonio Cromartie and safety Jaiquawn Jarrett each had one. Sanchez also threw a pick on a screen pass to nose tackle Damon Harrison, according to ESPNNewYork.com's Rich Cimini.

Now, Jets fans can take this news one of two ways.

Optimistically, you can shrug your shoulders and say it’s just May. Sanchez had a bad day with players running around in shorts. There is nothing to see here.

Or, pessimistically, if Sanchez can’t thrive in a May practice in shorts, how can he have a good season for the Jets in the fall? Franchise quarterbacks usually don’t throw three interceptions in one practice, especially without pads or real pressure.

For the record, Jets rookie quarterback Geno Smith also struggled in team drills. He was 3-of-10 passing with one interception to linebacker Garrett McIntyre, Cimini reports.

Quarterbacks will be evaluated constantly in New York until the starting job is sorted out. It’s early, but the Jets’ quarterbacks have a long way to go.
New York Jets Hall of Fame quarterback Joe Namath usually doesn't have many good things to say about his former team. So any time "Broadway Joe" offers a compliment to Gang Green, it becomes noteworthy.

Surprisingly, Namath offered praise this week for embattled Jets quarterback Mark Sanchez, who is a major target in New York. Sanchez led the NFL in turnovers the past two years and briefly lost his starting job late last season. Now, Sanchez is in a four-way competition in New York with fellow quarterbacks Geno Smith, Greg McElroy and Matt Simms. Many Jets fans want the team to hand the ball over to Smith, this year's second-round pick, in order to start a new era.

But Namath says pump the brakes on a quarterback change, because Sanchez is due for a good season.

“I know Sanchez is going to play better,” Namath said, according to the Associated Press. “He went through some major distractions last year. Now matter how much you say, ‘Oh, that doesn’t bother me, that’s not a focus breaker.’ I promise you you’ll see a different guy.”

Namath is referring to the immense distraction of Tim Tebow, who was recently released by the Jets. Sanchez did not respond well to “Tebowmania.” In fact, Sanchez regressed significantly last year.

It’s clear that Sanchez is not the long-term solution in New York, but Namath believes he’s the answer in 2013. Sanchez will make $8.25 million guaranteed this season and most likely will be released from his expensive contract after this season.

“As far as Sanchez goes, even if he’s not with the Jets, he’s going to play as long as he wants to,” Namath said of Sanchez's future. “He’s that good. As long as he stays healthy, he’ll be in the NFL.”
Here are the most interesting stories Wednesday in the AFC East:
  • Omar Kelly of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel reports rookie corner Jamar Taylor missed organized team activities due to hernia surgery.
Morning take: Taylor was curiously missing from practice Tuesday and this explains why. This puts the rookie second-round pick behind in the cornerback competition in Miami.
  • Buffalo Bills offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett says rookie quarterback EJ Manuel must improve “everything,” according to Chris Brown of Buffalo’s team site.
Morning take: Buffalo knew Manuel had a lot to learn at the NFL level but fell in love with all his tools. Manuel has a tough job beating out two veterans and must make big strides between now and September.
  • ESPNNewYork’s Rich Cimini reports Jets running back Mike Goodson will plead not guilty to drug and weapons charges.
Morning take: This is the best way for Goodson to keep his job in New York. Any guilty plea could lead to a release or an NFL suspension. The Jets may wait for the legal process to run its course before making a decision.
  • Former New England Patriots defensive tackle Kyle Love calls out his former team for releasing him after his diabetes diagnosis, writes Ryan O'Halloran of the Florida Times-Union.
Morning take: The Patriots are extremely business-like and not afraid to cut ties quickly. Fans like their winning culture, but a lot of players don’t agree with the way the Patriots sometimes do business.

AFC East chat preview

May, 21, 2013
May 21
1:30
PM ET
Join me at 4 p.m. ET Tuesday for our weekly chat on the AFC East.

I am wrapping up my day at Miami Dolphins’ organized team activities. I will share my observations from practice, as well as plenty of thoughts on the Buffalo Bills, New England Patriots and New York Jets.

Here is the link. Don’t miss the AFC East party.
The AFC East blog continues its "Show and Prove" series in the division for 2013.

Next we take a look at New York Jets starting linebacker DeMario Davis.

2012 stats: 36 tackles

What he has to prove: Davis must prove he is the long-term solution at inside linebacker for New York. The Jets drafted Davis in the third round in 2012, and now it’s his turn to step up after the team cut veteran linebacker Bart Scott. The Jets are in full rebuild mode in 2013. They desperately need young leaders to emerge, and it’s important that Davis develops into one of those players.

Walker's 2013 outlook: The Jets put a lot of hype on Davis as soon as he arrived, and I’m not sure that was a good idea. New York head coach Rex Ryan compared him to a young Ray Lewis last year in training camp before Davis played his first NFL game. That raised a lot of eyebrows. Davis didn’t see the field regularly until the second half of his rookie season. I saw some flashes of athleticism. But Davis didn’t make many impact plays, and I’m still not convinced he’s the next great linebacker under Ryan. Davis must prove he can be a consistent playmaker for 16 games.
Here are the most interesting stories Tuesday in the AFC East:
  • Updating a previous story, starting safety Reshad Jones reportedly changed his mind and plans to show up to the Miami Dolphins OTAs Tuesday. It was previously reported that he would not show unless there are discussions about a contract extension.
Morning take: Jones is still playing on his rookie contract and wants a raise in his final year. Miami spent a lot of money this offseason on other free agents and it will be interesting to see how the Dolphins handle Jones’ contract.
  • After successful arm surgery, New England Patriots Pro Bowl tight end Rob Gronkowski will decide in about a month whether to have back surgery.
Morning take: Gronkowski is on the mend and will need about 10 weeks to recover from his fourth arm surgery. The back is another issue but not as serious. The key is to get Gronkowski ready for the regular season.
  • New York Jets owner Woody Johnson says the team is in fact-finding mode with running back Mike Goodson.
Morning take: Goodson is in hot water following last week’s arrests. It’s not looking good for his situation, considering new general manager John Idzik must set a tone for the organization.
  • The Buffalo Bills are working rookie wide receiver Robert Woods on the outside and in the slot.
Morning take: Woods is an NFL-ready player who should contribute immediately for Buffalo. Expect Woods to see plenty of playing time, but his best position is probably outside.
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