Looking back at running game forecast
We gave them a baseline projection of 440 carries for 1,800 yards (4 yards per carry) and 18 touchdowns. In reality, the Patriots rushed a lot more (523 times) for more yards (2,184) and a heckuva lot more touchdowns (a league-leading 25) than our prediction. About the only thing we got right was the yards per carry (4.17).
Reader “311Bosox311” accurately forecasted Stevan Ridley's breakout season, predicting him to run for 1,300 yards and 13 touchdowns, numbers he came close to matching.
Check out how our experts fared in their predictions. The picks in bold were the closest to the actual numbers:
Revisiting Patriots running game predictions
|Stevan Ridley||Shane Vereen||Danny Woodhead||Brandon Bolden|
|Actual statistics||290 carries |
|62 carries |
|76 carries |
|56 carries |
|Mike Reiss' |
|220 carries |
|100 carries |
|70 carries |
|50 carries |
|Mike Rodak's |
|219 carries |
|112 carries |
|67 carries |
|42 carries |
|Field Yates' |
|220 carries |
|90 carries |
|95 carries |
|35 carries |
|> Using a baseline prediction of 440 carries for 1,800 yards and 18 touchdowns for all Pats running backs|
ABOUT THIS BLOG
Mike Reiss first started covering the Patriots in 1997 with the team's official newspaper, Patriots Football Weekly, before moving on to the MetroWest Daily News in his hometown of Framingham. From 2005 to 2009, he covered the Patriots for The Boston Globe, while also writing on the NFL. He started his popular Patriots blog in 2004. Send any questions or comments for Mike to his mailbag. Follow him on Twitter (@MikeReiss).
Mike Rodak began covering the Patriots for ESPNBoston.com in July 2010. A native of Grafton, Mass., Mike attended Providence College. Follow him on Twitter (@mikerodak)
Field Yates begins his contributions to ESPNBoston.com in 2012 after having written for a number of football-related sites around the web. Field began his professional career after college with the Kansas City Chiefs, working in both the scouting and coaching departments of the franchise before redirecting his focus to a career in media. He also interned for four summers in the coaching and scouting departments with the Patriots. Follow him on Twitter (@FieldYates).